NBA betting fantasy tips: DraftKings basketball picks for March 7

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The NBA cheat sheet provides an in-depth look at Monday’s main eight-game slate, featuring DFS and sport bets selected.

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Lakers-Spurs: 236 points
Trail Blazers-Timberwolves: 233 points
Bulls-76ers: 232.5 points

I will make it Karl-Anthony-Towns ($10,600) a bit later, but D’Angelo Russell ($8,200) is a strong option to consider with Anthony Edwards ($7,600) probably out. On the other side of this game, Keon Johnson ($3,900) is a great value to hunt with Anfernee Simons unavailable and the rookie coming off a strong showing against that same Minnesota team.

There’s also more to add regarding the Bulls-76ers, but more on that in Key injury to watch out for.

With Dejoute Murray ($11,100) cleared to play after initially being deemed questionable, there’s not as much value to be had in the San Antonio side. Lonnie Walker IV ($4,200; questionable) was going to be a popular game if the Spurs superstar didn’t play. But with Walker and Devin Vassell ($5,600) both dubious, Keldon Johnson ($6,300) becomes a solid mid-range option.


Define your DraftKings fantastic basketball lineups here: NBA $400,000 Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]


Planning Notes

3rd match in 4th night

Jazz, Nuggets, Knicks, Rockets, timber wolves

2nd night of a back-to-back

Jazz, Nuggets, Knicks, Rockets

1st night of a back-to-back

Warriors


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Key injury to watch out for

Lakers SF LeBron James ($11,600) vs. Spurs
Bulls C Nikola Vucevic ($8,600) vs. 76ers
Heat PG Victor Oladipo ($6,600) vs. Rockets

Oladipo’s status isn’t as high as the other three players listed here, but it’s something to watch, especially with Kyle Lowry ($7,300) upgraded to questionable after missing time for personal reasons. Both might be limited in minutes, but there’s no telling how they’ll impact each’s usage if both play.

If Vucevic is not suitable, Zach LaVine ($8,300) becomes one of the best Monday $8,000 range options. The guard is coming off a strong showing, and he’s posting a 34.1 percent burn rate and 1.21 DKFP per minute with LaVine off the ground this season. DeMar DeRozan ($9,700) gets a higher raise in those categories, but there are better ways to spend on players worth $9,000 or more.


Preferred choice against the spread

Jazz +1.5 at Mavericks

The Jazz aren’t good ATS this season, but I like them in this one. They responded to a miserable January with an 8-1 in February, and the Jazz maintained that strong streak, winning two of the three games they played in March.

As much as the Mavericks were nearly as good in February as Utah and have won their last four, Luka Doncic is just missing a game with a toe injury and Jalen Brunson is out. Doncic is likely on Monday, but it could still impact how he plays against Utah. Also, while Doncic did well against the Jazz on Feb. 25, the Mavericks took the L in that encounter.


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Favorite Player Accessory

Trail Blazers C Drew Eubanks: Over 17.5 points + rebounds against Timberwolves

Backing Eubanks to record a double-double (+400) deserves some attention on Monday, but I like his points + rebounds if we’re talking whole-unit plays. Eubanks has had an increased volume of shooting opportunities in Portland’s last three games, and he’ll once again have to record important minutes with Jusuf Nurkic out and KAT against the Blazers. And while getting the better of his point prop (10.5) allows for a slightly higher payout, I prefer to incorporate Eubanks’ rebounds to protect myself from a slight regression in offensive effectiveness.


Favorite value game

Warriors PG Jordan Poole ($5,300) vs. Nuggets

No Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson or Andrew Wiggins for the Warriors against Denver (above Draymond Green). This puts Poole in a great position to leave.

Without those four on the floor this season, Poole has posted a 33.9 per cent usage rate and 1.19 DKFP per minute. And when the Warriors saw the Nuggets again on Feb. 16 with those three players in the roster, Poole still provided more than five times the value.


favorite stud

Timberwolves C Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,600) vs. Trail Blazers

The Nuggets are on the rematch of a straight game and in a potential blowout spot with Curry for Golden State, so I can’t give away. Nikola Jokic ($12,600) top of the poster. Joel Embiid ($12,000) still produces, but adding James Harden ($11,400) hurts the ceiling of the center.

This brings it back to Luka Doncic ($12,200) and KAT, and I like this last Monday more. The main reason being that he is in the same scenario as he was on Saturday. The only difference is that he is at home, where he has been better this season.

Yes, Portland offers blowout potential. But with Edwards uncertain to play, KAT has the chance to explode again. The big man has a 32.4% usage rate with Edwards on the ground this season, and he’s posting a whopping 1.53 DKFP per minute in the same frame.


Define your DraftKings fantastic basketball lineups here: NBA $400,000 Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds are subject to change.


I’m a promoter at DraftKings and I’m also an avid fan and user (my username is dk-nfriar) and may occasionally play on my personal account in the games I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal views on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the views of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will warrant. Success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment to create queues. I can also deploy different players and strategies than those I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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